Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a foundational algorithm for large-scale statistical learning and stochastic optimization. However, statistical inference based on SGD iterates remains challenging when stochastic gradients have infinite variance, as the relevant limiting distributions depend on unknown nuisance parameters. In this paper, we develop an efficient, model-agnostic methodology for constructing confidence regions from SGD trajectories that applies in both finite- and infinite-variance regimes. The procedure is based on a joint weak convergence result for the Polyak-Ruppert averaged estimator and an empirical second-moment normalizer constructed from stochastic gradients along the SGD trajectory. This joint limit yields a self-normalized statistic in which the leading tail-dependent scaling terms cancel. We then use a subsampling calibration scheme to estimate the relevant critical values, avoiding explicit estimation of tail indices, slowly varying functions, or stable-law parameters. The resulting confidence regions are straightforward to implement and are asymptotically valid under both the finite- and infinite-second-moment regimes. Simulation studies show reliable coverage in various settings, supporting the proposed method as a practical tool for uncertainty quantification in stochastic optimization.

The construction of models from data is a significant contributor to the energetic costs of computation. Because of this, understanding how foundational thermodynamic bounds apply to modeling algorithms will be increasingly important. Here, we study the thermodynamic costs of a basic and fundamental modeling algorithm: simple linear regression. Following Landauer, we approximate the thermodynamic lower bound on irreversibly performing both exact linear regression and linear regression via stochastic gradient descent as implemented on floating-point numbers. From this, we derive energycost aware scaling laws for the optimal dataset size for training a linear regression model given a generalization error dependent demand for inference. Additionally, we discuss a method to lower bound the entropy production from the mismatch cost for algorithms with continuous input variables.

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) has been studied extensively over the past decades due to its simplicity and broad applicability in machine learning. In this work, we analyze the local behavior of gradient descent and stochastic gradient descent for minimizing $C^2$-functions that satisfy the Polyak-Lojasiewicz (PL) inequality and under a multiplicative gradient noise model motivated by overparameterized neural networks. Using a geometric interpretation of the PL-condition, we prove a simple yet surprising fact: in this possibly non-convex setting, the asymptotic convergence rate of (S)GD matches the rate obtained for strongly convex quadratics.

This paper explores the connection between learning trajectories of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) and their generalization capabilities when optimized using (stochastic) gradient descent algorithms. Instead of concentrating solely on the generalization error of the DNN post-training, we present a novel perspective for analyzing generalization error by investigating the contribution of each update step to the change in generalization error. This perspective enable a more direct comprehension of how the learning trajectory influences generalization error. Building upon this analysis, we propose a new generalization bound that incorporates more extensive trajectory information. Our proposed generalization bound depends on the complexity of learning trajectory and the ratio between the bias and diversity of training set. Experimental observations reveal that our method effectively captures the generalization error throughout the training process. Furthermore, our approach can also track changes in generalization error when adjustments are made to learning rates and label noise levels. These results demonstrate that learning trajectory information is a valuable indicator of a model's generalization capabilities.

Recently there is a large amount of work devoted to the study of Markov chain stochastic gradient methods (MC-SGMs) which mainly focus on their convergence analysis for solving minimization problems. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive generalization analysis of MC-SGMs for both minimization and minimax problems through the lens of algorithmic stability in the framework of statistical learning theory. For empirical risk minimization (ERM) problems, we establish the optimal excess population risk bounds for both smooth and non-smooth cases by introducing on-average argument stability. For minimax problems, we develop a quantitative connection between on-average argument stability and generalization error which extends the existing results for uniform stability [38]. We further develop the first nearly optimal convergence rates for convex-concave problems both in expectation and with high probability, which, combined with our stability results, show that the optimal generalization bounds can be attained for both smooth and non-smooth cases. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first generalization analysis of SGMs when the gradients are sampled from a Markov process.

We study generalization properties of random features (RF) regression in high dimensions optimized by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) in under-/overparameterized regime. In this work, we derive precise non-asymptotic error bounds of RF regression under both constant and polynomial-decay step-size SGD setting, and observe the double descent phenomenon both theoretically and empirically. Our analysis shows how to cope with multiple randomness sources of initialization, label noise, and data sampling (as well as stochastic gradients) with no closedform solution, and also goes beyond the commonly-used Gaussian/spherical data assumption. Our theoretical results demonstrate that, with SGD training, RF regression still generalizes well for interpolation learning, and is able to characterize the double descent behavior by the unimodality of variance and monotonic decrease of bias. Besides, we also prove that the constant step-size SGD setting incurs no loss in convergence rate when compared to the exact minimum-norm interpolator, as a theoretical justification of using SGD in practice.